Survival Rates

Posted By
5/20/2012 3:09pm
Replies: 5

I think most cancers talk about 5 and 10 year survival rates.  I'm not sure, but I think they do 5 year because with some cancers if there is NED after 5 years, doctors will say they believe the person to be "cured."  Of course, we know melanoma does not fit nicely into that category because it can come back after many many years.  So, then, why for melanoma don't they put survival rates down for 15 or 20 years?  Like, an in-situ or 1a or 1b 20-year survival rate? 

washoegal - (5/20/2012 - 3:45pm)

Don't think anyone has an answer to that question except for the fact that there might not be a large enough group to statiticly matter.

On the other side of the coin, be glad they don't no one that had mel no matter what the stage would probably every get insurance if they went out 20 years!

Life is too short to be anything but happy. Falling down is a part of life, getting back up is living.

natasha - (5/20/2012 - 7:52pm)

Some melanoma ( cancer ) math tools (like survive rate canculator0 ,which I tryed online ,give you answer for 15 years in advance. Of course ,this is not 100 right prognosys ,but they considering 15 years survival. I am stage 1a and I think it gave me chanse to be survive for 15 years 96 percent ,to dye of incident or desease 2 percent and to dye of cancer 2%

Harry in Fair Oaks - (5/21/2012 - 2:09am)

I think that the quality of the data would suffer the further out you go.  It's hard to follow the survivor populations for 20 years.

Best wishes,


Too ugly to die!

AlisonC - (6/2/2012 - 4:46am)

Sorry for the late can find long term survival curves calculated by the AJCC here:

Remember these are outcomes for people who were diagnosed and treated up to 2 decades ago when initial treatments were different.


Stage IIIB
NED since 2001